COVID19 almost certainly escaped from a laboratory in China. It was either part of a collection of natural bat viruses that were being investigated at the Wuhan Institute of Virology or a bioweapon based on a bat virus that escaped. (See Coronavirus one year on). It is unlikely that COVID19 was a deliberate bioweapon release because of the risk of an uncontrollable epidemic in China.
The events surrounding the release show that bioweapons of this type are now the best method of starting a war. Any large state wishing to launch a war against a superpower would devise a weapon such as COVID19 because it seriously damages the economy and operational efficiency of the enemy prior to any hot war phase of a conflict. COVID is a near perfect economic bioweapon.
In the past the military establishment would probably have believed that bioweapon release would rapidly be exposed and this exposure would lead to pre-emptive strikes or other severe countermeasures. However, the COVID19 release shows that, with sufficient financial muscle and embedded sympathisers, the West is extremely reluctant to identify bioweapons or even lab escapes. A single scientific article in Springer's Nature magazine that did not even consider the possibility of a laboratory escape was enough to cause the West itself to ban any coverage of emerging data about the origins of COVID (See Fact checkers rely on one source for origins of COVID19). This paper was considered to be gospel even though the publisher has a record of obeying the wishes of China, the actual text of the paper did not prove anything and the authors of the paper, the Scripps Institute, receive massive finance from China.
If I were one of China's psychopathic leadership I would be planning the next epidemic - probably modified flu - for use a few months before seizing the South China Sea and Taiwan. The preferred location for the outbreak would be near a Western or Russian virological research facility. Even if some people in the West were to suspect the true origin of the virus this would be easily suppressed using the methods developed for COVID.
The Russians are probably also assessing the potential of economic biowarfare weapons such as COVID. Unfortunately for Russia it does not have the economic clout of China, the thousands of internet trolls nor the tens of thousands of Chinese plants in Western organisations and universities to ensure that no-one fingers the source.
The Third World War will probably start with a Cold War or Flu War.
Postscript: now that we know how to do economic warfare with bioweapons the steps are straightforward. A year or two before the release use offshore funds to control prestigious scientific publications and to set up charitable foundations to control "fact checkers". Prepare a "conspiracy theory" - 5G has already been used so pesticides, water additives, or other alleged causes would be needed, your internet trolls will spread the "conspiracy" to make it appear as if it is a widespread movement. The conspiracy theory needs to be insane so that anyone investigating non-natural sources of the virus is also labelled as an insane conspiracy theorist by the media (this is standard modern disinformation practice). Prime idiot journalists with "its no worse than seasonal flu" narratives. Discreetly fund antivax groups. At the peak of the epidemic invade Taiwan.
31/1/2021
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