Skip to main content

Cheer up, its just the end of days

What is in common between the riots in the USA, Chinese expansionism, a Global Pandemic, Global Warming, drought, wildfires across Siberia, global economic collapse etc. ?

Is it the media?  Certainly the media are hysterical and determined to bring down the government in the UK and USA but as part of this program they have actually been suppressing news about China, Asian wildfires and several other important developments.

Is it a social change?  Political parties are no longer tolerating defeat in elections and Referendums and the tolerance that underpins democracy is indeed evaporating.  As an example the riots in the USA began with an appalling abuse of power by the police but this direct cause was rapidly addressed with criminal charges and investigations.  The continuing riots are now Democrats on the streets hoping to unseat Trump.

The White Riots in the USA
This behaviour is consistent with research that shows democracy is now supported by the minority in democratic countries.  However, this disintegration of the West only answers a few of the problems facing the world.

The human world is a "complex system".  It is highly interconnected and bumping up against a host of constraints.  A feature of many complex systems is that when one variable suddenly changes it precipitates changes across the system which have not been foreseen or could not, even in principle, be foreseen. This complex system is made even more unpredictable by our politicians who seem to be blind to anything other than immediate political advantage and it is exacerbated by the favouritism shown to transnational capitalism such as banking, sovereign wealth funds & multinationals that intensify connections.

In a complex system sudden changes, such as the collapse of the oil price plus a global pandemic leave us floundering when trying to make predictions of what will happen.  The system is too complex.

What we do know is that when a complex system is highly interconnected and experiences multiple insults there is an ever increasing chance of a "phase change".  A phase change is where the system flips into another stable pattern.

There are several stable patterns available to human society such as religious feudalism, liberal capitalism, socialism (communism) and, probably, Chinese Hitec Tyranny.  We are currently poised between liberal capitalism and Hitec Tyranny.

The only stable ecological states are those that are either diverse or true deserts.  If we assault the global ecosystem with agri-deserts and urbanisation it will create instabilities such as crop failures and diseases or local and global depletion of resources that will eventually remove the agri-desert.  Such changes could take centuries or happen within ten years or less.

The most likely outcome at present is a flip to Hitec Tyranny.  As the Chinese will tell you, this is not at all pleasant and is almost impossible to remove.  The advantage of Hitec Tyranny for the governing class is that, once established, it is scaleable.  The population can be completely controlled so that if there are events such as severe Global Warming any population reduction can be covered up whilst the governing group continues to live in a privileged environment.  Economic collapses can be managed by plugging the population into smartphones and state media that tell them they have never had it so good.

All of this could be my reaction to bleak times and it is indeed possible that humanity might find the same answer to stability as ecosystems in general: diversity.  A diversity of sustainable nations is still possible but diversity is a dirty word in the West.  The transnational capitalists are frantic to create a centralised, global economic and political system that embraces China and they have successfully stolen the hearts and minds of young adults for this project.

I would feel confident in the West finding a stable democratic answer to the current challenges if the West felt confident in itself.  Unfortunately being confident in our culture is known as "racism" so we may have lost the battle before it has started.  Postmodernism has corroded our unity of purpose.  You can be absolutely certain that China does not have such a problem with racism and sees the Han as the naturally superior inheritors of the Earth.

You have got to hand it to the Postmodernist/Poststructuralist philosophers of the 20th century.  When they set the demise of the West in motion they certainly knew what they were doing.

See Postmodernism-Poststructuralism-Postmarxism.


3/6/2020



Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Practical Idealism by Richard Nicolaus Coudenhove-Kalergi

Coudenhove-Kalergi was a pioneer of European integration. He was the founder and President for 49 years of the Paneuropean Union. His parents were Heinrich von Coudenhove-Kalergi, an Austro-Hungarian diplomat, and Mitsuko Aoyama, the daughter of an oil merchant, antiques-dealer, and huge landowner family in Tokyo. His "Pan-Europa" was published in 1923 and contained a membership form for the Pan-Europa movement. Coudenhove-Kalergi's movement held its first Congress in Vienna in 1926. In 1927 the French Prime Minister, Aristide Briand was elected honorary president.  Personalities attending included: Albert Einstein, Thomas Mann and Sigmund Freud. Figures who later became central to founding the EU, such as Konrad Adenauer became members . His basic idea was that democracy was a transitional stage that leads to rule by a new aristocracy that is largely taken from the Jewish "master race" (Kalergi's terminology). His movement was reviled by Hitler and H

The Falklands have always been Argentine - Las Malvinas son Argentinas

"The Falklands have always been Argentine" is taught to every Argentine child as a matter of faith.  What was Argentina during the time when it "always" possessed Las Malvinas?  In this article I will trace the history of Argentina in the context of its physical and political relationship with "Las Malvinas", the Falkland Islands.  The Argentine claim to the Falkland Islands dates from a brief episode in 1831-32 so it is like Canada claiming the USA despite two centuries of separate development. This might sound like ancient history but Argentina has gone to war for this ancient claim so the following article is well worth reading. For a summary of the legal case see: Las Malvinas: The Legal Case Argentina traces its origins to Spanish South America when it was part of the Viceroyalty of the Rio del Plata.  The Falklands lay off the Viceroyalty of Peru, controlled by the Captain General of Chile.  In 1810 the Falklands were far from the geographical b

The Report on Racism

The " Report by the Commission on Race and Ethnic Disparities " has just been published.  The Commissioners were nearly all from BAME backgrounds and have produced a robust and fair Report. The Report identified a class divide in which the cycle of advantage maintains a section of the population in wealth and leaves the large bulk of the population in relative poverty.   The wealthy class is largely white British but the poorer class consists of large numbers of white British and other ethnic groups.  This class divide causes a bias in the crude statistics on disadvantage so that majority, poor white British are labelled as "white supremacists" etc. when it is the small wealthy class that actually creates the disparity that causes this analysis. The most striking finding is that different ethnic groups had very different experiences and outcomes.  Educational outcomes demonstrate this at a glance: Red text added for this article Most ethnic groups had better outcome