The Crime Survey of England and Wales, which uses large samples of the whole population, shows that Racial and Religious hate crime is falling:
You can check the graph above by adding racial and religious hate crime figures given on page 6 of the House of Commons Briefing Paper (click the link).
The recent police figures for hate crime that have been trumpeted loudly in the media show an increase. The police say hate crime is rising and the Crime Survey shows it is falling. Why is there a difference? This is the analysis of this discrepancy between the police and Crime Survey data that was given by the police themselves:
"The Office for National Statistics have stated that increases in recent years in police recorded violence against the person and public order offences are thought to have largely been driven by improvements in police recording following the renewed focus on the quality of recorded crime. These improvements are likely to have also driven the increase in police recorded hate crime. In contrast, the Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW)6, which is unaffected by changes in recording practice, shows a fall in hate crime over the last decade. According to the CSEW the estimated number of hate crime incidents experienced by adults aged 16 and over in the combined 2015/16, 2016/17 and 2017/18 surveys was 31 per cent lower than in the combined 2009/10, 2010/11 and 2011/12 surveys (See section 4). "(Home Office: Hate Crime England and Wales 2017/18 ).
The Police figures for Racial and Religious hate crime show that more people are reporting it:
Given that hate crime actually fell in the period covered by the police in their recorded crime report, the increased reporting may reflect either a real, transient increase or a political desire to report hate crime such as before the EU Referendum or fear amongst minorities of a backlash after terrorist events. The police themselves say that their "increase" in hate crime is an artifact of recording practices so a real increase in hate crime is unlikely.
Almost 40% of all racist hate crime is perpetrated against white people (0.1% of 55 million is 55000).
Which should give us pause for thought.
Overall the picture for religious and racial hate crimes is encouraging with decreased incidence and increased reporting. The treatment of hate crimes by the broadcasters and press is deplorable.
15/7/19
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The recent police figures for hate crime that have been trumpeted loudly in the media show an increase. The police say hate crime is rising and the Crime Survey shows it is falling. Why is there a difference? This is the analysis of this discrepancy between the police and Crime Survey data that was given by the police themselves:
"The Office for National Statistics have stated that increases in recent years in police recorded violence against the person and public order offences are thought to have largely been driven by improvements in police recording following the renewed focus on the quality of recorded crime. These improvements are likely to have also driven the increase in police recorded hate crime. In contrast, the Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW)6, which is unaffected by changes in recording practice, shows a fall in hate crime over the last decade. According to the CSEW the estimated number of hate crime incidents experienced by adults aged 16 and over in the combined 2015/16, 2016/17 and 2017/18 surveys was 31 per cent lower than in the combined 2009/10, 2010/11 and 2011/12 surveys (See section 4). "(Home Office: Hate Crime England and Wales 2017/18 ).
The Police figures for Racial and Religious hate crime show that more people are reporting it:
Given that hate crime actually fell in the period covered by the police in their recorded crime report, the increased reporting may reflect either a real, transient increase or a political desire to report hate crime such as before the EU Referendum or fear amongst minorities of a backlash after terrorist events. The police themselves say that their "increase" in hate crime is an artifact of recording practices so a real increase in hate crime is unlikely.
Almost 40% of all racist hate crime is perpetrated against white people (0.1% of 55 million is 55000).
Overall the picture for religious and racial hate crimes is encouraging with decreased incidence and increased reporting. The treatment of hate crimes by the broadcasters and press is deplorable.
15/7/19
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