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NHS budget shortfall is also about Population Growth

The NHS budget is £115 billion a year.    There will be an annual shortfall of £30 billion a year by 2020 if funding simply keeps pace with inflation.

The cost of net migration to the NHS is about £1 billion extra each year. Over five years this amounts to £0.8bn per annum in 2016, £1.6bn in 2017, £2.4bn in 2018, £3.2billion in 2019 and £4billion in 2020.  In total this is £12 billion a year by 2020.  In other words, almost half of the shortfall is due to net migration.  The other half is due to factors such as an ageing population.

As Simon Stevens, head of the NHS said:

'... we do need to ensure that funding reflects our growing population, and to invest in making this change happen in order to get all the productivity improvements we could achieve.'

The UK population is growing by over 400,000 a year.  This growth is entirely due to immigration and the relatively large families of immigrants.  Without immigration the population would actually be falling because the rate of emigration (about 300,000 a year) would exceed the indigenous population growth.  The actual figure for population growth is higher because of poor counting, the ONS, for instance, calculates that the population of the UK will top 70m by 2027, growing by 430,000 or 0.8% a year, which, as a proportion of NHS budget is about 0.8 billion.  Immigrants (600,000 a year: net migrants = immigrants - emigrants) are especially responsible for A&E demand because they are unregistered with the NHS for a few months or years after entry (See A&E demand less than number of immigrants arriving).

The fact that NHS demand is severely affected by an increasing population and this is due to migration is not mentioned by our lying media in the UK.  They take the ageist line that the budget shortfall is entirely due to an ageing population.

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See ONS Predicted Population of Britain.

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