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The pressure on the NHS and Education is Related to Migration

Simon Stevens, head of the NHS, said that strain on the NHS was due to:

"Against the backdrop of multiple fundamental, long-range, health challenges:
  • the challenge of a growing population – three million more people in England by the end of the decade
  • the challenge of an ageing population – we now look after more pensioners than children
  • the growing challenge of obesity, dementia, multimorbidity; alongside   more expansive and more expensive treatments." 
Speech by Simon Stevens, CEO NHS England, to the NHS Confederation Annual Conference 2014

The Institute of Fiscal Studies identified 60% of the increase in NHS spending as due to UK population growth:

Institute of Fiscal Studies. UK Health and Social Care Spending
So 60% of the burden on the NHS is due to "Population Growth".  Where does this growth originate?

The Education Budget is also under strain. What is the cause of this strain? It is widely agreed that the school population is growing rapidly. See London schools set to feel strain of population growth , Primary school numbers soaring, School population to grow by one million to 40 year high. What is causing this rapid growth in the population of children that is taxing the Education Budget?

The broadcast media are suppressing all coverage of population growth.  This is villainy because the People cannot responsibly and effectively elect representative governments without access to the truth.  The reason that the broadcast media are suppressing any news about population growth is that they favour mass migration and mass migration is the cause of all of the growth.

Everyone has heard that "Net Migration" is about 300,000 a year.  Net migration is the difference between immigration (people entering the UK) of about 600,000 a year and emigration (people leaving the UK) of about 300,000 a year.  The UK population is growing by about 500,000 a year so if all immigration ceased and 600,000 people ceased coming, then the population would be declining by 100,000 a year.  The situation is slightly more complicated than this, as is described below, but the message is clear: all UK population growth is due to migration.

In the absence of any immigration and emigration, and excluding children born to migrants, the UK population would be stable:

The chart above highlights that if migration were to cease tomorrow then the UK population would cease to grow. All UK population growth is due to inward net migration.

However mass migration is happening, "...199,883 live births (25.7% of total live births) in the UK in 2014 were to mothers born outside the UK." ONS Overview of the UK population: February 2016 so the rate of births greatly exceeds deaths:


Migration causes the excess of births over deaths in the UK.  However, population growth is also directly due to migration.

"The population of the UK reached 65.1 million (65,110,000) in mid-2015, with a 95% confidence interval of plus or minus 0.2%. In the year to mid-2015 the population of the UK increased by 513,300 (up 0.8%).

The increase was driven by net international migration of 335,600 and natural change (births minus deaths) of 171,800. Other changes of 5,800 made up the remaining increase."Population Estimates for UK, England and Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland: mid-2015

The Strain on the NHS and the Education system is largely due to migration.

There are historical effects of migration on population growth (children born to parents who do not identify as White British: according to the ONS, "In 2015, the greatest percentage of all live births (62%) occurred in the White British group."Birth characteristics in England and Wales: 2015 and hence 38% of births were not in that group.

Despite these huge, annual population increases the spending on health is now steady:


This means that the spending per head has been falling as the population grows. This steady spending must be a mistake when 600,000 extra people enter the UK every year who are not registered with GPs and must use A&E even for minor problems.  As the Channel 4 Factcheck noted, no-one is daring to offend political sensibilities by recording the migration status of attendees at A&E.  Channel 4 concluded that hence there was no evidence that immigration was responsible for pressure on A&E services despite the fact that what we do know is that 600,000 unregistered people enter the UK every year and most of these will use A&E, being unregistered with GPs, so much for "Fact Check"!

Education spending has recently fallen:

This will have created an even greater fall in spending per head on education than simply that due to population growth.

The wicked pro-migration lobby are probably the greatest danger that our country has ever faced - see Why are people still pressing for more migration?



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