Skip to main content

The pressure on the NHS and Education is Related to Migration

Simon Stevens, head of the NHS, said that strain on the NHS was due to:

"Against the backdrop of multiple fundamental, long-range, health challenges:
  • the challenge of a growing population – three million more people in England by the end of the decade
  • the challenge of an ageing population – we now look after more pensioners than children
  • the growing challenge of obesity, dementia, multimorbidity; alongside   more expansive and more expensive treatments." 
Speech by Simon Stevens, CEO NHS England, to the NHS Confederation Annual Conference 2014

The Institute of Fiscal Studies identified 60% of the increase in NHS spending as due to UK population growth:

Institute of Fiscal Studies. UK Health and Social Care Spending
So 60% of the burden on the NHS is due to "Population Growth".  Where does this growth originate?

The Education Budget is also under strain. What is the cause of this strain? It is widely agreed that the school population is growing rapidly. See London schools set to feel strain of population growth , Primary school numbers soaring, School population to grow by one million to 40 year high. What is causing this rapid growth in the population of children that is taxing the Education Budget?

The broadcast media are suppressing all coverage of population growth.  This is villainy because the People cannot responsibly and effectively elect representative governments without access to the truth.  The reason that the broadcast media are suppressing any news about population growth is that they favour mass migration and mass migration is the cause of all of the growth.

Everyone has heard that "Net Migration" is about 300,000 a year.  Net migration is the difference between immigration (people entering the UK) of about 600,000 a year and emigration (people leaving the UK) of about 300,000 a year.  The UK population is growing by about 500,000 a year so if all immigration ceased and 600,000 people ceased coming, then the population would be declining by 100,000 a year.  The situation is slightly more complicated than this, as is described below, but the message is clear: all UK population growth is due to migration.

In the absence of any immigration and emigration, and excluding children born to migrants, the UK population would be stable:

The chart above highlights that if migration were to cease tomorrow then the UK population would cease to grow. All UK population growth is due to inward net migration.

However mass migration is happening, "...199,883 live births (25.7% of total live births) in the UK in 2014 were to mothers born outside the UK." ONS Overview of the UK population: February 2016 so the rate of births greatly exceeds deaths:


Migration causes the excess of births over deaths in the UK.  However, population growth is also directly due to migration.

"The population of the UK reached 65.1 million (65,110,000) in mid-2015, with a 95% confidence interval of plus or minus 0.2%. In the year to mid-2015 the population of the UK increased by 513,300 (up 0.8%).

The increase was driven by net international migration of 335,600 and natural change (births minus deaths) of 171,800. Other changes of 5,800 made up the remaining increase."Population Estimates for UK, England and Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland: mid-2015

The Strain on the NHS and the Education system is largely due to migration.

There are historical effects of migration on population growth (children born to parents who do not identify as White British: according to the ONS, "In 2015, the greatest percentage of all live births (62%) occurred in the White British group."Birth characteristics in England and Wales: 2015 and hence 38% of births were not in that group.

Despite these huge, annual population increases the spending on health is now steady:


This means that the spending per head has been falling as the population grows. This steady spending must be a mistake when 600,000 extra people enter the UK every year who are not registered with GPs and must use A&E even for minor problems.  As the Channel 4 Factcheck noted, no-one is daring to offend political sensibilities by recording the migration status of attendees at A&E.  Channel 4 concluded that hence there was no evidence that immigration was responsible for pressure on A&E services despite the fact that what we do know is that 600,000 unregistered people enter the UK every year and most of these will use A&E, being unregistered with GPs, so much for "Fact Check"!

Education spending has recently fallen:

This will have created an even greater fall in spending per head on education than simply that due to population growth.

The wicked pro-migration lobby are probably the greatest danger that our country has ever faced - see Why are people still pressing for more migration?



Comments

Popular posts from this blog

The Falklands have always been Argentine - Las Malvinas son Argentinas

"The Falklands have always been Argentine" is taught to every Argentine child as a matter of faith.  What was Argentina during the time when it "always" possessed Las Malvinas?  In this article I will trace the history of Argentina in the context of its physical and political relationship with "Las Malvinas", the Falkland Islands.  The Argentine claim to the Falkland Islands dates from a brief episode in 1831-32 so it is like Canada claiming the USA despite two centuries of separate development. This might sound like ancient history but Argentina has gone to war for this ancient claim so the following article is well worth reading. For a summary of the legal case see: Las Malvinas: The Legal Case Argentina traces its origins to Spanish South America when it was part of the Viceroyalty of the Rio del Plata.  The Falklands lay off the Viceroyalty of Peru, controlled by the Captain General of Chile.  In 1810 the Falklands were far from the geographical b

Practical Idealism by Richard Nicolaus Coudenhove-Kalergi

Coudenhove-Kalergi was a pioneer of European integration. He was the founder and President for 49 years of the Paneuropean Union. His parents were Heinrich von Coudenhove-Kalergi, an Austro-Hungarian diplomat, and Mitsuko Aoyama, the daughter of an oil merchant, antiques-dealer, and huge landowner family in Tokyo. His "Pan-Europa" was published in 1923 and contained a membership form for the Pan-Europa movement. Coudenhove-Kalergi's movement held its first Congress in Vienna in 1926. In 1927 the French Prime Minister, Aristide Briand was elected honorary president.  Personalities attending included: Albert Einstein, Thomas Mann and Sigmund Freud. Figures who later became central to founding the EU, such as Konrad Adenauer became members . His basic idea was that democracy was a transitional stage that leads to rule by a new aristocracy that is largely taken from the Jewish "master race" (Kalergi's terminology). His movement was reviled by Hitler and H

Membership of the EU: pros and cons

5th December 2013, update May 2016 Nigel Lawson, ex-Chancellor of the Exchequer,  recently criticised the UK membership of the EU , the media has covered his mainstream view as if he is a bad boy starting a fight in the school playground, but is he right about the EU? What has changed that makes EU membership a burning issue?  What has changed is that the 19 countries of the Eurozone are now seeking political union to escape their financial problems.   Seven further EU countries have signed up to join the Euro but the British and Danish have opted out.  The EU is rapidly becoming two blocks - the 26 and Britain and Denmark.   Lawson's fear was that if Britain stays in the EU it will be isolated and dominated by a Eurozone bloc that uses "unified representation of the euro area" , so acting like a single country which controls 90% of the vote in the EU with no vetoes available to the UK in most decisions.  The full plans for Eurozone political union ( EMU Stage